WiMax: The Hype and Hope

Published: August 2005
30 Pages

Author: Zaga Novakovic

Also see: Face-off: 4G vs. WiMax vs. WiFi

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Overview

This publication examines WiMax from a business viability perspective, with a focus on the anticipated technology usage and services. The report provides a subscriber and revenue forecast and case studies for WiMax service providers including Clearwire, Speakeasy Networks, AIIRMESH Communications, Nextweb, and Towerstream.

With WiMax at the top of everyone’s agenda, there is a need for research that separates the hype from the hope of this technology that is sometimes referred to as to as "WiFi on steroids". This report takes a critical view of the prospects for WiMax, which some believe is a technology in search of a business model. With the potential for greater bandwidth, coverage, and mobility, WiMax represents a lot more than WiFi or 3G, but also a lot less. This publication dispels the myths of WiMax and puts its business prospects into perspective. It is must-have research for anyone building a business case for investment into broadband wireless and/or projects involving WiMax.

The report author, Zaga Novakovic, is an expert in the area of public access broadband wireless services. She is also author of Public Access WLAN Forecasts 2005-2009, Public Access WLAN Case Studies 2005, and Public Access WLAN Usability 2004. As researcher and analyst for broadband wireless, Zaga brings a unique perspective to the business prospects for WiMax in both the public and enterprise sectors.

Key questions answered and myths dispelled in this report include:

  • Will WiMax be the death of 3G, 4G and other cellular technologies?
  • Will WiMax compete with or be complementary to DSL and cable?
  • Will the wide-area coverage purported by WiMax be the death of WiFi hot spots?
  • Who is offering WiMax services? What is their business plan? Will they be successful?
  • What are the real business opportunities for WiMax? Who will make money and how?
  • What is the business outlook for WiMax? What is the subscriber and revenue forecast for WiMax?
  • What will be the service drivers for WiMax? VoIP over WiMax? TV signal transmission? Public access broadband? Back-haul?

Key qualitative data provided by this report includes:

  • Compares and contrasts WiMax, WiFi, and 3G in terms of anticipated usage and services

  • WiMax market segment analysis for public access, enterprise, back-haul, and public safety

  • Case studies of WiMax service providers: company overview, location, coverage areas, costs, business plan, recommendations and outlook 

Key quantitative data provided by this report includes:

  • Forecast for number of worldwide WiMax subscribers 2006 - 2010
  • Forecast for WiMax revenue in US and worldwide 2006 – 2010


Who Should Buy This Report?

Wireline carriers
Company executives

Wireless carriers
Marketing/product managers

Competitive carriers
Network planners

Wireless system manufacturers
Engineering managers

Investors
Venture capitalists


Purchasers of this report will also be interested in:

Public Access WLAN Forecasts 2005-2009

Public Access WLAN Case Studies 2005

VoIP over WLAN (VoWLAN) Fundamentals


Table of Contents

Introduction

The Current Wireless Landscape

Technical Overview of WiMax

The Hype of WiMax

WiMax vs. WiFi

WiMax versus 3G and 4G

The Hope for WiMax

WiMax Market Segment Analysis

WiMax in Public Safety

WiMax for Enterprise

Public Access WiMax

WiMax for Wireless Backhaul

WiMax Service Provider Case Studies

Clearwire

Speakeasy Networks

AIIRMESH Communications

Nextweb

Towerstream

WiMax Forecast

World-Wide Broadband Access Subscribers

Revenue U.S. and World-Wide, WiMAX

Broadband Subscribers by Technology

Overall Conclusions and Outlook



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Single-use license of this publication is priced at $ 1,995 US

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About the Author

Zaga Novakovic
Now an independent consultant, Zaga previously worked with Ericsson for 6 years as Senior Product Manager for 3G and Business Development Manager for packet data in which she has engaged in forecasting, product development, 3G business strategy development, fraud prevention and developed business in the areas of WLAN and AAA. She has worked closely with operators all over the world, particularly in Asia and Latin America. Zaga is also a published author in various industry periodicals including Telecommunications International, Telecommunications the Americas, and USA Today.

Zaga is available to answer questions and offer related consulting and training as well as independent and customized research. Zaga@MindCommerce.com



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